PROGRAM

Thursday, November 24th

8:15 - 9:00 Registration - Welcome Address by Laurent Batsch President of Université Paris-Dauphine

9:00 - 11:00 SESSION COGNITIVIE PSYCHOLOGY, chair: Antoine Billot (U. Paris 2 Panthéon-Assas)

Lucie Charles (INSERM-CEA)
What do we know about the accuracy of our own decision? How does this knowledge depend on consciousness?

Steve Fleming (NYU)
What determines metacognitive accuracy?

Sébastien Massoni (Paris School of Economics)
Insurance, beliefs and affects: An Experimental Study (joint with Olivier Chanel, Thibault Gajdos and Jean-Christophe Vergnaud)

11:00 - 11:30 COFFEE BREAK

11:30- 12:30 Keynote Lecture, chair: Steve Fleming (NYU)

Rafal Bogacz (U. Bristol)
Neural mechanisms of probabilistic decision making

 

12:30 - 13:30 LUNCH

13:30 - 15:30 SESSION MICROECONOMICS AND SURVEY, chair: Bertrand Villeneuve (U. Paris-Dauphine)

Olivier Armantier (Federal Reserve, New York)
Inflation Expectations and Behavior: Do Survey Respondents Act on their Beliefs? (joint with Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw, Basit Zafar)

Nicolas Treich (Toulouse School of Economics)
Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Prediction Market Accuracy (joint with Xue-Zhong He)

Christos Koulovatianos (U. Nottingham)
Asset Pricing under Rational Learning about Rare Disasters (joint with and Volker Wieland)

15:30 - 15:45 BREAK

15:45 - 16:45 KEYNOTE LECTURE, chair: Michèle Cohen (U. Paris 1)

Itzhak Gilboa (HEC Paris and Tel Aviv U.)
Rationality and the Bayesian Paradigm

 

16:45 - 17:00 COFFEE BREAK

17:00 - 19:00 SESSION DECISION THEORY, chair: Jean-Philippe Lefort (U. Paris-Dauphine)

Paolo Ghirardato (U. Torino)
A more robust definition of multiple priors (joint with  Marciano Siniscalchi)

Ani Guerdjikova (U. Cergy-Pontoise)
Ambiguity, Data and Preferences for Information: A Case-Based Approach (joint with Jurgen Eichberger)

Russell Golman (Carnegie Mellon U.)
Curiosity, Information Gaps, and the Utility of Knowledge (joint with George Loewenstein)

Friday, November 25th

9:00-11:00 SESSION ECONOMICS AND PSYCHOLOGY, chair: Florence Legros (U. Paris-Dauphine)

Claudia Neri (U. St Gallen)
First-and Second-order Subjective Expectations in Strategic Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence (joint with Charles Manski)

Aurélien Baillon (Erasmus U. Rotterdam)
Testing Ambiguity Models through the Measurement of Probabilities for Gains and Losses (joint with Han Bleichrodt )

Jérôme Sackur (ENS Ulm)
A duration bias in confidence judgments for perceptual decisions

11:00 - 11:15 COFFEE BREAK

11h30 - 12H30: KEYNOTE LECTURE, chair Thibault Gajdos (GREQAM, Marseille)

Jerome Busemeyer (Indiana U. Bloomington)
Contributions of decision field theory towards understanding the cognitive basis of decision weights  used to make decisions under risk and under uncertainty

 

12:30 -13:30 LUNCH

13:30 - 15:30 SESSION SURVEY, chair: Florence Jusot (U. Paris-Dauphine)

Pamela Giustinelli (U. Michigan)
Group Decision Making with Uncertain Outcomes: Unpacking Child-Parent Choices of High School  Tracks

Hector Calvo-Pardo (U. Southampton)
Subjective  Stock Market Expectations, Information and Stock Market Participation: Evidence from France (joint with Luc Arrondel and Derya Tas)

Adeline Delavande (RAND Corporation and U. Nova de Lisboa)
HIV/AIDS-related Expectations and Risky Sexual Behavior in Malawi (joint with Hans-Peter Kohler)

15:30 - 16:00 COFFEE BREAK

16:00 - 17:00 KEYNOTE LECTURE, chair Roger Guesnerie (Collège de France)

Charles Manski (Northwestern U.)
Empirical Analysis of Decisions under Ambiguity

17:15 CONFERENCE CLOSING COCKTAIL